Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Independiente FBC

Team pages: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes · Independiente FBC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.36

Independiente FBC0.83

1X2

49% 29% 22%

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Draw Independiente FBC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLDDW

Independiente FBC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDLDWW

Head-to-head

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 2–2–1 Independiente FBC (5 last)

Independiente FBC1-212 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Independiente FBC0-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-0Independiente FBC
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes0-0Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC1-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1538 · Independiente FBC 1517

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Draw	Independiente FBC
Our model	48%	30%	21%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Independiente FBC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	3.50 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.56 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +25’	1.91	3.20	3.50
07:56 +3’	1.80▼	3.25▲	3.90▲
15:09	1.83▲	3.25	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +74’	1.76	3.21	4.06
09:14 +63’	1.75▼	3.25▲	4.06
12:00 +19’	1.76▲	3.20▼	4.08▲
15:09	1.74▼	3.11▼	4.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 2–2–1 Independiente FBC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-2 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
05/10/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	0-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
28/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente FBC
26/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-0 HT 0-0	Independiente FBC
21/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	24	14	6	4	35	22	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	24	11	6	7	37	29	39
5	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
6	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
7	Independiente FBC	24	8	10	6	33	32	34
8	Carapegua	24	10	4	10	30	38	34
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Tacuary	24	3	11	10	26	39	20
16	Encarnacion FC	24	5	4	15	22	33	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Independiente FBC
Paraguari AC	3-2 W	2-3 L
Encarnacion FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	2-4 L	2-1 W
Fernando de la Mora	1-1 D	0-0 D
3 de Noviembre	1-0 W	2-5 L
General Caballero JLM	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

WWDLWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
11/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
30/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
01/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Independiente FBC

LDDDWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
09/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
28/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-5	7	4	L
22/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
29/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
18/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-3	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Independiente FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (49%). Probabilities: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 49%, draw 29%, Independiente FBC 22%.

How many goals are expected in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Independiente FBC?

The model expects 2.19 goals (12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.36 · Independiente FBC 0.83), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Independiente FBC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.