Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 22/09, 00:00
Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Deportivo Capiata
Team pages: Encarnacion FC · Deportivo Capiata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Encarnacion FC1.26
Deportivo Capiata0.92
1X2
Encarnacion FC
Draw
Deportivo Capiata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Encarnacion FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Capiata
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Encarnacion FC
0–3
Deportivo Capiata
(3 last)
- Deportivo Capiata1-0Encarnacion FC
- Encarnacion FC1-2Deportivo Capiata
- Deportivo Capiata2-1Encarnacion FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1468 · Deportivo Capiata 1439
| Encarnacion FC | Draw | Deportivo Capiata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Capiata: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Encarnacion FC | Deportivo Capiata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 0–0–3 Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Encarnacion FC |
| 05/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Encarnacion FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 31/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Encarnacion FC |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero JLM | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Deportivo Santaní | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 26 | 48 |
| 4 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 39 |
| 5 | Independiente FBC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 37 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 37 |
| 7 | Paraguari AC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 8 | Carapegua | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 35 |
| 9 | Resistencia FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 32 |
| 10 | Fernando de la Mora | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 31 |
| 11 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 33 | 27 |
| 13 | Guairena FC | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 33 | 25 |
| 14 | 3 de Noviembre | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 23 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 21 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 33 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Encarnacion FC | Deportivo Capiata |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente FBC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Tacuary | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Paraguari AC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Fernando de la Mora | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Encarnacion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Deportivo Capiata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Encarnacion FC win (44%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 44%, draw 29%, Deportivo Capiata 27%.
How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Deportivo Capiata?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.26 · Deportivo Capiata 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Deportivo Capiata?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.