Football · China Division 2 · 06/10, 13:30

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.78

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.04

1X2

27% 33% 41%

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Draw Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWWDL

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDLW

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 3–1–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (4 last)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-0Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue4-1Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0-2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1541 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1562

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Draw	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Our model	25%	35%	40%
Market	28%	31%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.5	1.2 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X2.90

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.76 ★
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +10’	3.25	2.90	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +27’	3.76	2.80	2.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 3–1–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/25 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2-0 HT 1-0	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
09/04/25 China Division 2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-0 HT 0-0	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
21/07/24 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	4-1 HT 3-0	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
11/05/24 China Division 2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-2 HT 0-0	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	24	14	4	6	39	19	46
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	24	13	4	7	30	18	43
3	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	24	13	3	8	32	19	42
4	Shandong Taishan Reserves	24	12	6	6	34	23	42
5	Shenzhen 2028	24	11	8	5	38	25	41
6	Dalian Kewei	24	10	11	3	23	14	41
7	Jiangxi Lushan	24	11	5	8	27	21	38
8	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	24	8	11	5	25	30	35

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Shanghai Port Reserves	0-2 L	1-0 W
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	4-3 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

WDDWDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
13/09	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
11/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	2-0	4-3	2	7	W
01/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

WWWWWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
13/09	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
22/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
09/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
05/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
01/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
19/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win (41%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 27%, draw 33%, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 41%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.78 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1.04), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.