Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Tai'an Tiankuang
Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Tai'an Tiankuang
| Xiamen Feilu | Draw | Tai'an Tiankuang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai'an Tiankuang (rating 1456 vs 1512).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Xiamen Feilu | Tai'an Tiankuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Xiamen Feilu | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 32 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 29 |
| 5 | Qingdao Red Lions | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 28 |
| 6 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 8 | Beijing Institute | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 45 | 22 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Xiamen Feilu | Tai'an Tiankuang |
|---|---|---|
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Tai'an Tiankuang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Tai'an Tiankuang?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (37%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 37%, draw 31%, Tai'an Tiankuang 33%.
How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Tai'an Tiankuang?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.17 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Tai'an Tiankuang?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.