Football · China Division 2 · 12/10, 10:00

Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Segenda

Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Shanghai Segenda

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Guangzhou Dandelion1.24
Shanghai Segenda0.95
1X2
42% 31% 27%
Guangzhou Dandelion Draw Shanghai Segenda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Guangzhou Dandelion 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLDWDLLD
Shanghai Segenda 0-6-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDLLDLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1462 · Shanghai Segenda 1449
Guangzhou DandelionDrawShanghai Segenda
Our model42%31%27%
Market42%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guangzhou DandelionShanghai Segenda
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.30.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 52.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.5 / 0

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hubei Istar 251087 322538
2 Dalian Young Boy Reserves 257117 232432
3 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 256145 171932
4 Guangdong Mingtu 256136 242131
5 Guangzhou Dandelion 256811 243226
6 Wenzhou FC 255119 172626
7 Changchun Xidu 254138 183025
8 Shanghai Segenda 2521112 234117

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuangzhou DandelionShanghai Segenda
Changchun Xidu 1-1 D 1-1 D
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1-2 L 2-2 D
Wenzhou FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shanghai Segenda (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangzhou Dandelion

DLDLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 43 D
19/09 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 63 L
13/09 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 92 L
23/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 58 D
16/08 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
2-0 3-1 40 W
08/08 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 43 D
02/08 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-4 53 L
25/07 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
18/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-1 1-3 32 L
12/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 43 D

Shanghai Segenda

DLDDLLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 74 D
19/09 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 74 D
12/09 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 73 L
22/08 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 42 D
15/08 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 34 L
08/08 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 54 L
02/08 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 47 D
25/07 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
1-0 2-2 43 D
18/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 52 L
12/07 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 12 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Segenda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (42%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 42%, draw 31%, Shanghai Segenda 27%.

How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.24 · Shanghai Segenda 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.