Prediction: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan
Team pages: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai · Jiangxi Lushan
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0-3Jiangxi Lushan
- Jiangxi Lushan1-1Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Draw | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 35% | 20% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (rating 1548 vs 1500).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/90/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0–1–1 Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/25 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Jiangxi Lushan |
| 22/03/25 China Division 2 | Jiangxi Lushan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 46 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | Dalian Kewei | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Jiangxi Lushan |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen 2028 | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win (46%). Probabilities: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 46%, draw 33%, Jiangxi Lushan 21%.
How many goals are expected in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1.09 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.64), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.