Football · China Division 2 · 06/10, 13:30

Prediction: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves

Team pages: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic · Shanghai Port Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.41
Shanghai Port Reserves0.84
1X2
50% 29% 22%
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Draw Shanghai Port Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
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Shanghai Port Reserves 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1501 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1534
Guizhou Zhucheng AthleticDrawShanghai Port Reserves
Our model49%30%21%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guizhou Zhucheng AthleticShanghai Port Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.81.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.32.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.22.9 / 0.3

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shanghai Port Reserves 241446 391946
2 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 241347 301843
3 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 241338 321942
4 Shandong Taishan Reserves 241266 342342
5 Shenzhen 2028 241185 382541
6 Dalian Kewei 2410113 231441
7 Jiangxi Lushan 241158 272138
8 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 248115 253035

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuizhou Zhucheng AthleticShanghai Port Reserves
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0-1 L 0-1 L
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 3-4 L 2-0 W
Jiangxi Lushan 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shanghai Port Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 33 L
12/09 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 73 L
23/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 88 D
16/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 93 D
11/08 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-2 3-4 47 L
05/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 107 W
01/08 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 45 W
25/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
2-0 3-0 81 W
19/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 41 W
05/07 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 66 L

Shanghai Port Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 64 W
12/09 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 73 W
22/08 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 53 W
15/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 27 L
08/08 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-3 1-3 43 L
05/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 83 L
01/08 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 41 W
26/07 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 2-3 31 L
18/07 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 06 W
04/07 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
4-1 5-1 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (50%). Probabilities: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 50%, draw 29%, Shanghai Port Reserves 22%.

How many goals are expected in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.41 · Shanghai Port Reserves 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.