Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028
Team pages: Shanghai Port Reserves · Shenzhen 2028
| Shanghai Port Reserves | Draw | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port Reserves | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 46 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | Dalian Kewei | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port Reserves | Shenzhen 2028 |
|---|---|---|
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shenzhen 2028 (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (35%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 35%, draw 31%, Shenzhen 2028 35%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.25 · Shenzhen 2028 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

