Football · China Division 2 · 11/10, 09:30

Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028

Team pages: Shanghai Port Reserves · Shenzhen 2028

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Shanghai Port Reserves1.25
Shenzhen 20281.25
1X2
35% 31% 35%
Shanghai Port Reserves Draw Shenzhen 2028
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Port Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWWWL
Shenzhen 2028 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Port Reserves 1509 · Shenzhen 2028 1508
Shanghai Port ReservesDrawShenzhen 2028
Our model35%30%35%
Market34%31%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Shanghai Port ReservesShenzhen 2028
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.11.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.33 / 0.2

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shanghai Port Reserves 251447 402146
2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 251438 342045
3 Shandong Taishan Reserves 251366 362345
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 251357 301844
5 Dalian Kewei 2511113 241444
6 Shenzhen 2028 251186 382741
7 Jiangxi Lushan 251159 272238
8 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 258125 253036

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShanghai Port ReservesShenzhen 2028
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1-2 L 0-1 L
Jiangxi Lushan 1-0 W 2-1 W
Shandong Taishan Reserves 1-3 L 0-2 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shenzhen 2028 (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Port Reserves

WLWLLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 21 L
19/09 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 64 W
12/09 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 73 W
22/08 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 53 W
15/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 27 L
08/08 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-3 1-3 43 L
05/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 83 L
01/08 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 41 W
26/07 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 2-3 31 L
18/07 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 06 W

Shenzhen 2028

DWWLWDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 64 L
19/09 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D
13/09 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 85 W
23/08 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 91 L
16/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 64 D
08/08 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
2-0 6-0 22 W
01/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 55 L
25/07 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 2-1 32 W
18/07 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
1-1 3-1 42 W
11/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
2-1 2-2 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (35%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 35%, draw 31%, Shenzhen 2028 35%.

How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.25 · Shenzhen 2028 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shenzhen 2028?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.