Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Wenzhou FC
Team pages: Shanghai Segenda · Wenzhou FC
| Shanghai Segenda | Draw | Wenzhou FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wenzhou FC (rating 1441 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Wenzhou FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 35 |
| 2 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Guangdong Mingtu | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 25 |
| 6 | Wenzhou FC | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 24 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Segenda | Wenzhou FC |
|---|---|---|
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Segenda (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Wenzhou FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Wenzhou FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Segenda win (42%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 42%, draw 32%, Wenzhou FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Wenzhou FC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Shanghai Segenda 1.1 · Wenzhou FC 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Wenzhou FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.