Prediction: Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Team pages: Guangdong Mingtu · Dalian Young Boy Reserves
| Guangdong Mingtu | Draw | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong Mingtu (rating 1536 vs 1480).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong Mingtu | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.1 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 35 |
| 2 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Guangdong Mingtu | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 25 |
| 6 | Wenzhou FC | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 24 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangdong Mingtu | Dalian Young Boy Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Xidu | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong Mingtu win (42%). Probabilities: Guangdong Mingtu 42%, draw 33%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 26%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Guangdong Mingtu 1.06 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.76), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.