Football · China Division 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Guangzhou Dandelion1.31

Dalian Young Boy Reserves0.79

1X2

48% 30% 22%

Guangzhou Dandelion Draw Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangzhou Dandelion 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLDWD

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWDDW

Head-to-head

Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1 Dalian Young Boy Reserves (1 last)

Dalian Young Boy Reserves1-0Guangzhou Dandelion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1488 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1514

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Draw	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Our model	48%	31%	21%
Market	49%	29%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:07 +2’	1.83	3.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0–1 Dalian Young Boy Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 China Division 2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Guangzhou Dandelion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hubei Istar	27	10	9	8	33	27	39
2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	27	8	12	7	28	25	36
3	Guangdong Mingtu	27	7	14	6	27	23	35
4	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	27	6	15	6	18	21	33
5	Changchun Xidu	27	6	13	8	21	31	31
6	Guangzhou Dandelion	27	7	9	11	27	33	30
7	Wenzhou FC	27	5	11	11	18	32	26
8	Shanghai Segenda	27	2	12	13	25	45	18

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangzhou Dandelion	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Changchun Xidu	1-1 D	1-0 W
Wenzhou FC	0-0 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy Reserves (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangzhou Dandelion

DLDWDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/10	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
06/10	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
13/09	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
23/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
16/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
08/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
02/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

LWDWLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	4-0	11	2	W
11/10	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
06/10	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
19/09	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/09	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
22/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	3-4	9	4	L
15/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (48%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 48%, draw 30%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 22%.

How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.31 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.79), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.