Football · China Division 2 · 06/10, 09:30

Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Team pages: Beijing Institute · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Beijing Institute0.99
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1.69
1X2
21% 27% 53%
Beijing Institute Draw Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Institute 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
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Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDLWWDLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1450 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1489
Beijing InstituteDrawChengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Our model21%26%53%
Market21%27%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Beijing InstituteChengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.11.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.61.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 03.1 / 0

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tai'an Tiankuang 24897 262433
2 Xiamen Feilu 24888 322932
3 Nantong Haimen Codion 246126 282430
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 24789 213429
5 Qingdao Red Lions 246108 242228
6 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 245910 202624
7 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 244812 202820
8 Beijing Institute 244713 224519

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBeijing InstituteChengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Xiamen Feilu 0-3 L 5-1 W
Ganzhou Ruishi 1-0 W 1-1 D
Nantong Haimen Codion 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Institute

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-1 0-3 50 L
12/09 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 54 W
22/08 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 4-3 34 W
15/08 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 53 D
08/08 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 44 W
05/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 31 L
01/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
29/07 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 04 L
27/07 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-3 1-6 41 L
18/07 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 33 L

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 102 D
12/09 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 15 D
23/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 32 L
16/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
08/08 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
1-0 3-2 14 W
02/08 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
2-1 5-1 52 W
27/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 35 L
19/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 52 D
11/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 35 D
04/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 61 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win (53%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 21%, draw 27%, Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 53%.

How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Beijing Institute 0.99 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.69), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.