Football · China Division 2 · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Nantong Haimen Codion
Team pages: Ganzhou Ruishi · Nantong Haimen Codion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Ganzhou Ruishi0.89
Nantong Haimen Codion1.49
1X2
Ganzhou Ruishi
Draw
Nantong Haimen Codion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ganzhou Ruishi
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Nantong Haimen Codion
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ganzhou Ruishi
0–2–3
Nantong Haimen Codion
(5 last)
- Ganzhou Ruishi2-4Nantong Haimen Codion
- Nantong Haimen Codion4-1Ganzhou Ruishi
- Nantong Haimen Codion1-1Ganzhou Ruishi
- Ganzhou Ruishi1-3Nantong Haimen Codion
- Nantong Haimen Codion2-2Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ganzhou Ruishi 1433 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1552
| Ganzhou Ruishi | Draw | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Haimen Codion (rating 1433 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ganzhou Ruishi | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 0–2–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/23 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-4 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
| 03/09/23 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 31/10/22 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 09/08/22 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
| 16/07/22 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Xiamen Feilu | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 32 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 29 |
| 5 | Qingdao Red Lions | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 28 |
| 6 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 8 | Beijing Institute | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 45 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ganzhou Ruishi | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Beijing Institute | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantong Haimen Codion (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ganzhou Ruishi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Haimen Codion win (50%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 21%, draw 28%, Nantong Haimen Codion 50%.
How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 0.89 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.