Football · China Division 2 · 24/10, 09:30

Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Xiamen Feilu

Team pages: Beijing Institute · Xiamen Feilu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Beijing Institute1.14

Xiamen Feilu1.43

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Beijing Institute Draw Xiamen Feilu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Beijing Institute 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Xiamen Feilu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Beijing Institute 0–1 Xiamen Feilu (1 last)

Xiamen Feilu3-0Beijing Institute

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1500 · Xiamen Feilu 1474

	Beijing Institute	Draw	Xiamen Feilu
Our model	29%	29%	43%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Beijing Institute	Xiamen Feilu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:04 +3’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 0–0–1 Xiamen Feilu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 China Division 2	Xiamen Feilu	3-0 HT 1-0	Beijing Institute

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	27	8	13	6	34	26	37
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	27	9	10	8	29	26	37
3	Xiamen Feilu	27	9	9	9	35	31	36
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	27	7	10	10	23	39	31
5	Qingdao Red Lions	27	6	11	10	25	28	29
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	27	6	9	12	25	29	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	27	5	10	12	22	32	25
8	Beijing Institute	27	5	9	13	26	47	24

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beijing Institute	Xiamen Feilu
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	2-0 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Institute (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Institute

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
19/09	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
12/09	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-1	4-3	3	4	W
15/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
08/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
05/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
01/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Xiamen Feilu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
12/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
07/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
13/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
16/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-0	0	5	W
08/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
02/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-2	1-5	7	2	L
29/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Xiamen Feilu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Xiamen Feilu win (43%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 29%, draw 28%, Xiamen Feilu 43%.

How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Beijing Institute 1.14 · Xiamen Feilu 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.