Football · China Division 2 · 24/10, 09:30

Prediction: Qingdao Red Lions vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Team pages: Qingdao Red Lions · Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Qingdao Red Lions1.72

Ganzhou Ruishi0.83

1X2

57% 26% 16%

Qingdao Red Lions Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Red Lions 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLLDL

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLDD

Head-to-head

Qingdao Red Lions 0–1 Ganzhou Ruishi (1 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi2-1Qingdao Red Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Red Lions 1474 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1435

	Qingdao Red Lions	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	58%	26%	17%
Market	57%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qingdao Red Lions	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.40

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:53 +14’	1.57	3.40	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Red Lions 0–0–1 Ganzhou Ruishi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	2-1 HT 1-0	Qingdao Red Lions

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	27	8	13	6	34	26	37
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	27	9	10	8	29	26	37
3	Xiamen Feilu	27	9	9	9	35	31	36
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	27	7	10	10	23	39	31
5	Qingdao Red Lions	27	6	11	10	25	28	29
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	27	6	9	12	25	29	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	27	5	10	12	22	32	25
8	Beijing Institute	27	5	9	13	26	47	24

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao Red Lions	Ganzhou Ruishi
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-2 L	0-4 L
Nantong Haimen Codion	1-1 D	1-1 D
Beijing Institute	6-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Red Lions

WDWDLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
13/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
19/09	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/09	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
15/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	3-0	6-1	2	1	W

Ganzhou Ruishi

LDLLLLWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
07/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
19/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
16/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Red Lions vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao Red Lions win (57%). Probabilities: Qingdao Red Lions 57%, draw 26%, Ganzhou Ruishi 16%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao Red Lions vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Qingdao Red Lions 1.72 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Red Lions vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.