Football · China Division 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Team pages: Tai'an Tiankuang · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Tai'an Tiankuang1.23

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves0.99

1X2

41% 31% 29%

Tai'an Tiankuang Draw Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Tai'an Tiankuang 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLDDDWDL

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDDLDL

Head-to-head

Tai'an Tiankuang 0–1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (1 last)

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1-1Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tai'an Tiankuang 1481 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1466

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Draw	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Our model	40%	31%	28%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.3	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
02:03 +6’	2.20	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 0–1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 China Division 2	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-1 HT 1-1	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	27	8	13	6	34	26	37
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	27	9	10	8	29	26	37
3	Xiamen Feilu	27	9	9	9	35	31	36
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	27	7	10	10	23	39	31
5	Qingdao Red Lions	27	6	11	10	25	28	29
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	27	6	9	12	25	29	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	27	5	10	12	22	32	25
8	Beijing Institute	27	5	9	13	26	47	24

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tai'an Tiankuang	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Xiamen Feilu	0-0 D	5-1 W
Nantong Haimen Codion	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tai'an Tiankuang

DLDLDDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
12/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
07/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
19/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
22/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

LWWDLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
13/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
19/09	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
12/09	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
23/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
02/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	2-1	5-1	5	2	W
27/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (41%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 41%, draw 31%, Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 29%.

How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.23 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.