Football · England Northern League Division One · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Mossley vs Clitheroe
Team pages: Mossley · Clitheroe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Mossley1.29
Clitheroe1.42
1X2
Mossley
Draw
Clitheroe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mossley
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Clitheroe
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mossley
2–1–1
Clitheroe
(4 last)
- Mossley0-0Clitheroe
- Mossley3-0Clitheroe
- Mossley1-3Clitheroe
- Clitheroe2-5Mossley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mossley 1516 · Clitheroe 1445
| Mossley | Draw | Clitheroe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mossley (rating 1516 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Mossley: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mossley | Clitheroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/78/11% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mossley 2–1–1 Clitheroe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 England Northern League Division One | Mossley | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Clitheroe |
| 13/08/24 England Northern League Division One | Mossley | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Clitheroe |
| 06/10/20 England Northern League Division One | Mossley | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Clitheroe |
| 08/09/18 England FA Cup Qualification | Clitheroe | 2-5 | Mossley |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mossley | Clitheroe |
|---|---|---|
| Nantwich Town | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Vauxhall Motors | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Shifnal Town | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mossley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Wythenshawe Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/01 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/12 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/12 | Bury England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Clitheroe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Chasetown England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/08 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/03 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/02 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/01 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 27/01 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/12 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/11 | Chasetown England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 28/10 | Sporting Khalsa England Northern League Division One |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/10 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mossley vs Clitheroe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Clitheroe win (39%). Probabilities: Mossley 34%, draw 27%, Clitheroe 39%.
How many goals are expected in Mossley vs Clitheroe?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Mossley 1.29 · Clitheroe 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mossley vs Clitheroe?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.