Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 14/09, 01:00
Prediction: Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC
Team pages: Barcelona Guayaquil · Delfin SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Barcelona Guayaquil1.48
Delfin SC0.63
1X2
Barcelona Guayaquil
Draw
Delfin SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Barcelona Guayaquil
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Delfin SC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barcelona Guayaquil
5–1–0
Delfin SC
(6 last)
- Delfin SC1-2Barcelona Guayaquil
- Delfin SC0-1Barcelona Guayaquil
- Barcelona Guayaquil2-0Delfin SC
- Barcelona Guayaquil4-0Delfin SC
- Delfin SC1-3Barcelona Guayaquil
- Delfin SC1-1Barcelona Guayaquil
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barcelona Guayaquil 1518 · Delfin SC 1448
| Barcelona Guayaquil | Draw | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona Guayaquil (rating 1518 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Barcelona Guayaquil: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barcelona Guayaquil | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona Guayaquil 5–1–0 Delfin SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 20/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 29/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Delfin SC |
| 27/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Delfin SC |
| 05/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 13/08/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 71 |
| 2 | SD Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 26 | 48 |
| 4 | Macara | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 43 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Libertad | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 45 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 42 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 30 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barcelona Guayaquil | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|
| SD Aucas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Independiente del Valle | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Orense | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mushuc Runa | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Macara | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Leones FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| LDU Quito | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona Guayaquil (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barcelona Guayaquil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/09 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Delfin SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 28/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/08 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barcelona Guayaquil win (58%). Probabilities: Barcelona Guayaquil 58%, draw 27%, Delfin SC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Barcelona Guayaquil 1.48 · Delfin SC 0.63), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.