Football · Mexico Liga MX · 08/11, 00:00
Prediction: Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
Team pages: Tigres UANL · Cruz Azul
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Tigres UANL1.25
Cruz Azul1.4
1X2
Tigres UANL
Draw
Cruz Azul
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Cruz Azul
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL
0–4–2
Cruz Azul
(6 last)
- Cruz Azul2-1Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL1-1Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul1-1Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL1-1Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul1-0Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL1-1Cruz Azul
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (rating 1474 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Cruz Azul: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL 0–4–2 Cruz Azul
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 07/12/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 04/12/25 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 05/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 02/05/25 CONCACAF Champions Cup | Cruz Azul | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 24/04/25 CONCACAF Champions Cup | Tigres UANL | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 21 |
| 9 | Unam Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 10 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Pachuca | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Unam Pumas | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Toluca | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Juarez FC | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Monterrey | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Necaxa | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Santos Laguna | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 21/10 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Cruz Azul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/10 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruz Azul win (39%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL 32%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 39%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Tigres UANL 1.25 · Cruz Azul 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.