Football · Mexico Liga MX · 07/11, 04:00

Prediction: Atlante vs Santos Laguna

Team pages: Atlante · Santos Laguna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Atlante1.41

Santos Laguna1.61

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Atlante Draw Santos Laguna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlante 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Santos Laguna 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos Laguna (rating 1459 vs 1543).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlante	Santos Laguna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6	3.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.07 → 2.07	Pinn 2.07
X	3.71 → 3.72▲	Pinn 3.72
2	3.28 → 3.37▲	Pinn 3.37

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:43 +25’	2.07	3.71	3.28
02:04 +2’	2.07	3.72▲	3.37▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	15	8	5	2	36	21	29
2	Chivas Guadalajara	15	8	5	2	25	14	29
3	Atlas	15	8	3	4	26	26	27
4	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32	23	26
5	Toluca	15	6	6	3	31	21	24
6	Tijuana	15	5	7	3	25	21	22
7	Leon	14	6	4	4	21	18	22
8	Monterrey	14	6	3	5	26	21	21
9	Unam Pumas	15	5	5	5	22	24	20
10	Queretaro	14	6	2	6	18	21	20
11	Pachuca	15	5	4	6	25	19	19
12	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20	20	19
13	Atletico San Luis	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	Puebla	15	4	4	7	17	23	16
15	Tigres UANL	15	3	6	6	15	22	15
16	Atlante	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16	27	10
18	Juarez FC	15	2	2	11	12	34	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlante	Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis	0-1 L	2-1 W
Juarez FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Unam Pumas	1-2 L	2-0 W
Queretaro	0-2 L	5-0 W
Puebla	1-1 D	2-3 L
Pachuca	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santos Laguna (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlante

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	2-4	4	1	L
24/10	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
21/10	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
17/10	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-2	10	3	L
11/10	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
26/09	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-1	4-2	2	3	W
19/09	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
12/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-3	0-3	5	6	L
06/09	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
29/08	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Santos Laguna

LDLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
22/10	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
18/10	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	2-0	5-0	3	2	W
12/10	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
27/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
21/09	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
14/09	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-1	12	8	W
07/09	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
30/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
23/08	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-3	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlante vs Santos Laguna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santos Laguna win (41%). Probabilities: Atlante 33%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 41%.

How many goals are expected in Atlante vs Santos Laguna?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Atlante 1.41 · Santos Laguna 1.61), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlante vs Santos Laguna?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.