Football · Mexico Liga MX · 07/11, 02:00
Prediction: Necaxa vs Tijuana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Necaxa1.45
Tijuana1.6
1X2
Necaxa
Draw
Tijuana
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Tijuana
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Necaxa
3–1–2
Tijuana
(6 last)
- Necaxa3-0Tijuana
- Tijuana3-0Necaxa
- Tijuana1-2Necaxa
- Necaxa1-2Tijuana
- Tijuana2-3Necaxa
- Necaxa1-1Tijuana
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tijuana (rating 1431 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Necaxa: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.5 | 3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa 3–1–2 Tijuana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tijuana |
| 01/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Necaxa |
| 05/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Necaxa |
| 19/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tijuana |
| 06/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Necaxa |
| 08/07/23 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tijuana |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 21 |
| 9 | Unam Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 10 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atlas | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Pachuca | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Club America | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Puebla | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Unam Pumas | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tijuana (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 12/10 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/09 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Tijuana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/10 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 26/10 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/10 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/09 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa vs Tijuana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tijuana win (40%). Probabilities: Necaxa 34%, draw 26%, Tijuana 40%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa vs Tijuana?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Necaxa 1.45 · Tijuana 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Tijuana?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.