Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 23/10, 12:30

Prediction: Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Team pages: Hapoel Ironi Arraba · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1.33

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1.6

1X2

31% 27% 43%

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Draw Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLDDW

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLLWL

Head-to-head

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1–1–0 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad (2 last)

Hapoel Ironi Arraba3-1Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad0-0Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1455 · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1464

	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Draw	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Our model	31%	27%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.7	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.6	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +6’	2.90	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1–1–0 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
13/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	7	5	2	0	13	5	17
2	Beitar Nahariya	7	5	1	1	14	6	16
3	Ironi Nesher	6	4	1	1	18	5	13
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	7	3	4	0	10	4	13
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	7	3	1	3	15	13	10
6	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	6	3	1	2	9	10	10
7	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	6	2	3	1	9	6	9
8	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	6	2	3	1	11	9	9
9	Hapoel Beit Shean	5	2	2	1	8	4	8
10	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	7	2	2	3	11	11	8
11	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	7	2	1	4	9	12	7
12	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
13	FC Tzeirey Tamra	7	2	0	5	8	18	6
14	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
15	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	6	1	2	3	4	8	5
16	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	7	1	2	4	4	15	5
17	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	6	1	0	5	5	14	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1-4 L	1-2 L
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0-4 L	2-1 W
Sport Club Tira	0-4 L	2-3 L
Beitar Nahariya	0-1 L	0-3 L
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

LLWLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-1	2	11	W
09/10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
30/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
24/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	1-4	5	6	L
19/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
10/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
22/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
13/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	10	L

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

LLWDDDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
09/10	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
30/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
23/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
10/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
27/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
21/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	3-5	8	3	L
13/02	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad win (43%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 31%, draw 27%, Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 43%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1.33 · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1.6), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.