Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 16:30
Prediction: Atletico Lodigiani vs Cynthialbalonga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Atletico Lodigiani1.22
Cynthialbalonga1.2
1X2
Atletico Lodigiani
Draw
Cynthialbalonga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Lodigiani
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Cynthialbalonga
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Lodigiani
0–1–3
Cynthialbalonga
(4 last)
- Cynthialbalonga2-0Atletico Lodigiani
- Cynthialbalonga2-1Atletico Lodigiani
- Cynthialbalonga0-0Atletico Lodigiani
- Atletico Lodigiani0-1Cynthialbalonga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Lodigiani 1439 · Cynthialbalonga 1519
| Atletico Lodigiani | Draw | Cynthialbalonga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cynthialbalonga (rating 1439 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Cynthialbalonga: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Lodigiani | Cynthialbalonga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Lodigiani 0–1–3 Cynthialbalonga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Cynthialbalonga | 2-0 | Atletico Lodigiani |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie D | Cynthialbalonga | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Lodigiani |
| 13/04/25 Italy Serie D | Cynthialbalonga | 0-0 | Atletico Lodigiani |
| 01/12/24 Italy Serie D | Atletico Lodigiani | 0-1 | Cynthialbalonga |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambiase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD CastrumFavara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Ragusa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enna Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Igea Virtus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Licata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reggina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milazzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nissa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vibonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| 18 | Siracusa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Lodigiani | Cynthialbalonga |
|---|---|---|
| Cassino | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Real Monterotondo | 0-2 L | 5-3 W |
| ASD Trastevere | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Monastir Kosmoto | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Scafatese | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Virtus Flaminia | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Lodigiani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Lodigiani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Cassino Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Real Monterotondo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/03 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/02 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/02 | Scafatese Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Cynthialbalonga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Scafatese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | Valmontone 1921 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Cassino Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Real Monterotondo Italy Serie D |
– | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 08/02 | Montespaccato Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Lodigiani vs Cynthialbalonga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Lodigiani win (36%). Probabilities: Atletico Lodigiani 36%, draw 30%, Cynthialbalonga 34%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Lodigiani vs Cynthialbalonga?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Atletico Lodigiani 1.22 · Cynthialbalonga 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Lodigiani vs Cynthialbalonga?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.