Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Piacenza

Team pages: AC Leon Monza Brianza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
AC Leon Monza Brianza1.29
Piacenza1.22
1X2
37% 29% 34%
AC Leon Monza Brianza Draw Piacenza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Leon Monza Brianza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Piacenza 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Leon Monza Brianza 1500 · Piacenza 1562
AC Leon Monza BrianzaDrawPiacenza
Our model37%29%34%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piacenza (rating 1500 vs 1562).
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Leon Monza BrianzaPiacenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 11.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/71/14%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.32.2 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.32.7 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Leon Monza Brianza

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 34 W
03/05 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
26/04 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 16 D
19/04 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 115 L
02/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 55 W
22/03 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
2-2 3-2 72 W
15/03 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 66 W
01/03 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 45 L
22/02 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
2-1 W

Piacenza

WWLWDWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
06/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
03/05 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-1 3-1 114 W
26/04 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
19/04 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-1 53 W
12/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
02/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 62 W
29/03 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 63 L
22/03 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 44 W
15/03 Correggese
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-1 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Piacenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Leon Monza Brianza win (37%). Probabilities: AC Leon Monza Brianza 37%, draw 29%, Piacenza 34%.

How many goals are expected in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Piacenza?

The model expects 2.51 goals (AC Leon Monza Brianza 1.29 · Piacenza 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Piacenza?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.