Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Cittadella Vis Modena vs Citta di Varese

Team pages: Citta di Varese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Cittadella Vis Modena1.3
Citta di Varese1
1X2
42% 30% 28%
Cittadella Vis Modena Draw Citta di Varese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cittadella Vis Modena 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLDWWLLW
Citta di Varese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLWWWLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cittadella Vis Modena 1493 · Citta di Varese 1525
Cittadella Vis ModenaDrawCitta di Varese
Our model42%31%27%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cittadella Vis ModenaCitta di Varese
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.11.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 04.7 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
2 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
2 Reggina 1100 503
4 Vibonese 1100 403
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 2101 543
8 Sambiase 1100 213
9 Milazzo 2101 343
10 Modica 1010 221
11 ASD Ragusa 2011 351
12 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
13 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
15 Enna Calcio 2002 080
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cittadella Vis Modena

DLWLDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 73 W
06/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
2-3 L
03/05 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-5 L
26/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 26 W
19/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
12/04 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 12 D
02/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 45 L
29/03 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 75 W
22/03 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
15/03 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-0 D

Citta di Varese

DDLLWWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 63 L
06/09 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 57 D
17/05 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-3 3-5 36 L
03/05 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
3-2 W
26/04 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
12/04 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
02/04 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 63 L
29/03 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 96 D
22/03 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-2 63 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Citta di Varese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cittadella Vis Modena win (42%). Probabilities: Cittadella Vis Modena 42%, draw 30%, Citta di Varese 28%.

How many goals are expected in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Citta di Varese?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Cittadella Vis Modena 1.3 · Citta di Varese 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Citta di Varese?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.