Prediction: Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione
Team pages: Tropical Coriano · Lentigione
- Lentigione2-0Tropical Coriano
- Tropical Coriano1-2Lentigione
| Tropical Coriano | Draw | Lentigione | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 18% | 26% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lentigione (rating 1488 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Lentigione: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tropical Coriano | Lentigione | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tropical Coriano 0–0–2 Lentigione
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Lentigione | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tropical Coriano |
| 24/09/25 Italy Serie D | Tropical Coriano | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lentigione |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tropical Coriano | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Pro Palazzo | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Piacenza | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Pistoiese | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| ASD Sasso Marconi | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lentigione (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tropical Coriano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Imolese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Sangiuliano City FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Lentigione
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CS Trevigliese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/03 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lentigione win (55%). Probabilities: Tropical Coriano 18%, draw 27%, Lentigione 55%.
How many goals are expected in Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Tropical Coriano 0.77 · Lentigione 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.