Prediction: Ligorna vs Derthona
Team pages: Ligorna · Derthona
- Ligorna1-0Derthona
- Derthona0-2Ligorna
- Ligorna2-1Derthona
- Derthona0-3Ligorna
- Derthona0-0Ligorna
- Ligorna3-1Derthona
| Ligorna | Draw | Derthona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ligorna (rating 1549 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Ligorna: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ligorna | Derthona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ligorna 5–1–0 Derthona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Derthona |
| 24/09/25 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ligorna |
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Derthona |
| 03/11/24 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ligorna |
| 05/05/24 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ligorna |
| 20/12/23 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Derthona |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ligorna | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Citta di Varese | 5-3 W | 0-1 L |
| NovaRomentino | 9-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Asti | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cairese | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ligorna (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ligorna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 5-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 9-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Lavagnese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Derthona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ligorna vs Derthona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ligorna win (47%). Probabilities: Ligorna 47%, draw 29%, Derthona 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ligorna vs Derthona?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Ligorna 1.42 · Derthona 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ligorna vs Derthona?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.