Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Real Calepina FC vs ASD Caldiero Terme

Team pages: Real Calepina FC · ASD Caldiero Terme

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Real Calepina FC1.57
ASD Caldiero Terme1.37
1X2
40% 28% 32%
Real Calepina FC Draw ASD Caldiero Terme
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Calepina FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWDDLDWD
ASD Caldiero Terme 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLLDDWDL
Head-to-head
Real Calepina FC 0–2–2 ASD Caldiero Terme (4 last)
  • ASD Caldiero Terme3-1Real Calepina FC
  • Real Calepina FC1-1ASD Caldiero Terme
  • Real Calepina FC0-1ASD Caldiero Terme
  • ASD Caldiero Terme0-0Real Calepina FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Calepina FC 1518 · ASD Caldiero Terme 1503
Real Calepina FCDrawASD Caldiero Terme
Our model41%27%32%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours ASD Caldiero Terme: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real Calepina FCASD Caldiero Terme
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.32.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/38/25%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.91.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 04.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Calepina FC 022 ASD Caldiero Terme

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Italy Serie D
ASD Caldiero Terme3-1
HT 1-0
Real Calepina FC
09/11/25
Italy Serie D
Real Calepina FC1-1
HT 0-1
ASD Caldiero Terme
21/04/24
Italy Serie D
Real Calepina FC0-1
HT 0-1
ASD Caldiero Terme
10/12/23
Italy Serie D
ASD Caldiero Terme0-0
HT 0-0
Real Calepina FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal Calepina FCASD Caldiero Terme
Sondrio 1-5 L 1-1 D
US Folgore Caratese 1-1 D 1-3 L
US Breno 1-1 D 1-1 D
AC Milan U23 1-0 W 3-4 L
Oltrepò 0-1 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Real Calepina FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Calepina FC

WLLWDDLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 22 D
06/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
3-1 5-1 01 W
03/05 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 63 D
26/04 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
1-5 L
19/04 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 23 D
12/04 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 42 D
08/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/04 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 43 L
22/03 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 95 L
15/03 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-0 W

ASD Caldiero Terme

LDWLLDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-4 93 L
03/05 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
26/04 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
6-0 W
19/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 16 D
12/04 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
02/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 75 L
29/03 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
1-3 L
22/03 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 25 W
15/03 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
01/03 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
2-4 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Caldiero Terme?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Calepina FC win (40%). Probabilities: Real Calepina FC 40%, draw 28%, ASD Caldiero Terme 32%.

How many goals are expected in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Caldiero Terme?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Real Calepina FC 1.57 · ASD Caldiero Terme 1.37), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Caldiero Terme?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.