Football · Japan L1 League Women · 05/09, 08:00

Prediction: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Ehime FC (W)

Team pages: Ehime FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)2.68

Ehime FC (W)0.74

1X2

78% 14% 8%

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Draw Ehime FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWLW

Ehime FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 4–1–1 Ehime FC (W) (6 last)

Ehime FC (W)0-4Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)3-1Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)0-4Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)2-2Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)1-2Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Ehime FC (W)2-1Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1564 · Ehime FC (W) 1473

	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Draw	Ehime FC (W)
Our model	78%	15%	7%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (rating 1564 vs 1473).
H2H favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Ehime FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:21 +5’	1.17	7.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 4–1–1 Ehime FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
14/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Ehime FC (W)
10/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
22/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	Ehime FC (W)
13/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
17/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	15	10	2	3	45	10	32
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	15	9	5	1	37	12	32
3	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	15	8	5	2	28	15	29
4	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	15	8	4	3	20	10	28
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	15	7	5	3	17	11	26
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	15	7	2	6	22	23	23
7	Ehime FC (W)	15	5	4	6	17	28	19
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	14	4	4	6	22	24	16
9	AS Harima Albion (W)	15	4	4	7	15	21	16
10	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	14	4	3	7	23	27	15
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	15	3	1	11	13	45	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	15	0	1	14	6	39	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	Ehime FC (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)	5-0 W	1-1 D
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	5-0 W	1-0 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	5-1 W	2-1 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	4-0 W	2-1 W
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-2 D	3-1 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

WDWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
21/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
13/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
07/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	13	1	L
23/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	5-1	5	1	W
17/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
10/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	3	0	W
03/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
26/04	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/04	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	4	0	W

Ehime FC (W)

WLDLWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
20/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-6	1	2	L
14/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
07/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
24/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	10	0	D
16/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
10/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
02/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
26/04	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
19/04	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-1	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 78%, draw 14%, Ehime FC (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 2.68 · Ehime FC (W) 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.