Football · Japan L1 League Women · 13/09, 08:00

Prediction: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)

Team pages: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) · AS Harima Albion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1.62

AS Harima Albion (W)1.4

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Draw AS Harima Albion (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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AS Harima Albion (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1–1–3 AS Harima Albion (W) (5 last)

AS Harima Albion (W)3-4Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0-0AS Harima Albion (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)3-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)2-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)1-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1484 · AS Harima Albion (W) 1493

	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	Draw	AS Harima Albion (W)
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AS Harima Albion (W): 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	0.9 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.25

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
11:14 +3’	2.20	3.25	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1–1–3 AS Harima Albion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	3-4 HT 2-2	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
29/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
20/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
16/09/18 Japan L2 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
17/07/17 Japan League Cup Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	16	11	2	3	48	11	35
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	16	9	5	2	37	15	32
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	16	9	4	3	25	11	31
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	16	8	5	3	29	18	29
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	16	8	5	3	19	12	29
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	16	7	2	7	23	28	23
7	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	16	6	3	7	29	27	21
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	16	5	4	7	18	22	19
9	Ehime FC (W)	16	5	4	7	18	31	19
10	Setagaya Sfida (W)	16	4	4	8	23	29	16
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	16	3	1	12	14	47	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	16	1	1	14	8	40	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-5 L	0-1 L
Ehime FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	4-1 W	2-0 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-4 L	0-5 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	0	0	L
28/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	1	0	L
21/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
13/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	4-1	5	2	W
23/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
17/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
10/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-4	2	0	L
03/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
26/04	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-3	4	0	L

AS Harima Albion (W)

LDLLWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
21/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
13/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-2	1	0	D
06/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
16/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L
10/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
26/04	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 41%, draw 27%, AS Harima Albion (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1.62 · AS Harima Albion (W) 1.4), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.