Football · Japan L1 League Women · 12/09, 08:00

Prediction: Ehime FC (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)

Team pages: Ehime FC (W) · Vonds Ichihara (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Ehime FC (W)1.7

Vonds Ichihara (W)1

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Ehime FC (W) Draw Vonds Ichihara (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ehime FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Vonds Ichihara (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ehime FC (W) 1–0 Vonds Ichihara (W) (1 last)

Vonds Ichihara (W)1-2Ehime FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ehime FC (W) 1481 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 1402

	Ehime FC (W)	Draw	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ehime FC (W) (rating 1481 vs 1402).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ehime FC (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	0.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:23 +6’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ehime FC (W) 1–0–0 Vonds Ichihara (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Ehime FC (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	16	11	2	3	48	11	35
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	16	9	5	2	37	15	32
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	16	9	4	3	25	11	31
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	16	8	5	3	29	18	29
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	16	8	5	3	19	12	29
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	16	7	2	7	23	28	23
7	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	16	6	3	7	29	27	21
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	16	5	4	7	18	22	19
9	Ehime FC (W)	16	5	4	7	18	31	19
10	Setagaya Sfida (W)	16	4	4	8	23	29	16
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	16	3	1	12	14	47	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	16	1	1	14	8	40	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ehime FC (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-3 L	1-5 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-6 L	0-0 D
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	0-4 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	3-1 W	0-4 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ehime FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
28/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
20/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-6	1	2	L
14/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
07/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
24/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	10	0	D
16/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
10/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
02/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
26/04	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L

Vonds Ichihara (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
28/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
21/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-3	1	0	L
13/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-5	3	1	L
17/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-4	5	0	L
03/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
26/04	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-4	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ehime FC (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ehime FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Ehime FC (W) 53%, draw 25%, Vonds Ichihara (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ehime FC (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Ehime FC (W) 1.7 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ehime FC (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.