Football · Japan L1 League Women · 12/09, 07:00

Prediction: Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)

Team pages: Loveledge Nagoya (W) · Setagaya Sfida (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Loveledge Nagoya (W)1.9

Setagaya Sfida (W)1.09

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Loveledge Nagoya (W) Draw Setagaya Sfida (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Loveledge Nagoya (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWDL

Setagaya Sfida (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWDLLL

Head-to-head

Loveledge Nagoya (W) 3–2–1 Setagaya Sfida (W) (6 last)

Setagaya Sfida (W)2-3Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)1-3Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)1-1Setagaya Sfida (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)0-0Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)3-5Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)1-3Setagaya Sfida (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 1585 · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1468

	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Draw	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Our model	55%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loveledge Nagoya (W) (rating 1585 vs 1468).
H2H favours Loveledge Nagoya (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:26 +2’	1.61	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 3–2–1 Setagaya Sfida (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
21/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
13/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Setagaya Sfida (W)
14/09/24 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
12/05/24 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-5 HT 1-1	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
09/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Setagaya Sfida (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	16	11	2	3	48	11	35
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	16	9	5	2	37	15	32
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	16	9	4	3	25	11	31
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	16	8	5	3	29	18	29
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	16	8	5	3	19	12	29
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	16	7	2	7	23	28	23
7	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	16	6	3	7	29	27	21
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	16	5	4	7	18	22	19
9	Ehime FC (W)	16	5	4	7	18	31	19
10	Setagaya Sfida (W)	16	4	4	8	23	29	16
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	16	3	1	12	14	47	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	16	1	1	14	8	40	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Setagaya Sfida (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	0-0 D	2-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	6-0 W	0-0 D
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	8-0 W	3-2 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Loveledge Nagoya (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loveledge Nagoya (W)

WDWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-3	2	0	L
28/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	6-0	5	2	W
13/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
07/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
23/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
17/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	8-0	7	0	W
02/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
26/04	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-1	6	1	W

Setagaya Sfida (W)

WWLDDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
08/08	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
21/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
03/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
25/04	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-2	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loveledge Nagoya (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Loveledge Nagoya (W) 55%, draw 24%, Setagaya Sfida (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Loveledge Nagoya (W) 1.9 · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Setagaya Sfida (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.