Football · Japan L1 League Women · 13/09, 08:00

Prediction: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Team pages: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1.09

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.35

1X2

29% 28% 42%

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Draw Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLDLWW

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLWDW

Head-to-head

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–2–3 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 last)

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-1Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)0-0Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)3-3Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)0-3Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)0-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1500 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1564

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Draw	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Our model	29%	30%	42%
Market	30%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (rating 1500 vs 1564).
H2H favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +9’	3.00	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–2–3 Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
27/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
25/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
22/09/24 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	3-3 HT 1-2	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
28/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
11/06/23 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	16	11	2	3	48	11	35
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	16	9	5	2	37	15	32
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	16	9	4	3	25	11	31
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	16	8	5	3	29	18	29
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	16	8	5	3	19	12	29
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	16	7	2	7	23	28	23
7	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	16	6	3	7	29	27	21
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	16	5	4	7	18	22	19
9	Ehime FC (W)	16	5	4	7	18	31	19
10	Setagaya Sfida (W)	16	4	4	8	23	29	16
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	16	3	1	12	14	47	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	16	1	1	14	8	40	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-4 L	1-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	4-0 W	2-1 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
24/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
16/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	8	0	W
03/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	3	0	W
26/04	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	8	1	D

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

WLWWWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	1	0	W
17/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	10	0	L
26/04	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 29%, draw 28%, Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.09 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.