Football · Japan L1 League Women · 13/09, 08:00

Prediction: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Team pages: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)0.92

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1.58

1X2

21% 26% 53%

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Draw Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWWWW

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 3–2–1 Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (6 last)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1-0Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1-0Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1-1Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1-0Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1-1Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)1-0Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1571 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1550

	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	Draw	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Our model	21%	28%	52%
Market	22%	25%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	2.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.60

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +8’	3.80	3.60	1.73
17:49 +1’	4.00▲	3.60	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 3–2–1 Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
21/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
18/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
20/10/24 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
17/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
01/10/23 Japan L1 League Women	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	16	11	2	3	48	11	35
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	16	9	5	2	37	15	32
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	16	9	4	3	25	11	31
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	16	8	5	3	29	18	29
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	16	8	5	3	19	12	29
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	16	7	2	7	23	28	23
7	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	16	6	3	7	29	27	21
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	16	5	4	7	18	22	19
9	Ehime FC (W)	16	5	4	7	18	31	19
10	Setagaya Sfida (W)	16	4	4	8	23	29	16
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	16	3	1	12	14	47	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	16	1	1	14	8	40	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	5-1 W	4-0 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Ehime FC (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	4-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

WDWWLDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	5-1	4	0	W
27/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
20/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	2	0	W
14/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
07/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
24/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
16/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
02/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	1	1	D
26/04	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	6	0	W

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

DWWLWLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
28/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
21/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
13/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
07/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	13	1	L
23/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	5-1	5	1	W
17/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
10/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	3	0	W
03/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
26/04	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 21%, draw 26%, Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 0.92 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.