Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 09/09, 19:15
Prediction: Hapoel Herzliya vs AS Nordia Jerusalem
Team pages: Hapoel Herzliya · AS Nordia Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Hapoel Herzliya1.86
AS Nordia Jerusalem0.67
1X2
Hapoel Herzliya
Draw
AS Nordia Jerusalem
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Herzliya
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
AS Nordia Jerusalem
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Herzliya
1–2–3
AS Nordia Jerusalem
(6 last)
- AS Nordia Jerusalem3-0Hapoel Herzliya
- Hapoel Herzliya1-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem0-3Hapoel Herzliya
- AS Nordia Jerusalem2-1Hapoel Herzliya
- Hapoel Herzliya0-0AS Nordia Jerusalem
- Hapoel Herzliya0-3AS Nordia Jerusalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Herzliya 1459 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1408
| Hapoel Herzliya | Draw | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Herzliya (rating 1459 vs 1408).
- H2H favours AS Nordia Jerusalem: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Herzliya | AS Nordia Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Herzliya 1–2–3 AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Herzliya |
| 18/01/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Herzliya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 17/09/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Herzliya |
| 16/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Herzliya |
| 08/09/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Herzliya | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 16/08/19 Europe Friendlies | Hapoel Herzliya | 0-3 HT 0-3 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Yavne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sport Club Dimona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | MS Jerusalem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Herzliya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hapoel Marmorek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Hadera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Hapoel Azor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Herzliya | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Azor | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| MS Jerusalem | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Tzeirey Tira | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Kfar Saba 1928 | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Maccabi Yavne | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Herzliya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/02 | FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 20/02 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/01 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 16/01 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/01 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/01 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/02 | Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South |
1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 06/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/01 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/01 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/01 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/01 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/01 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Herzliya vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Herzliya win (66%). Probabilities: Hapoel Herzliya 66%, draw 22%, AS Nordia Jerusalem 12%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Herzliya vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Hapoel Herzliya 1.86 · AS Nordia Jerusalem 0.67), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Herzliya vs AS Nordia Jerusalem?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.