Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 18/09, 13:00

Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Azor

Team pages: Hapoel Azor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1.06

Hapoel Azor0.97

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Draw Hapoel Azor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDWDDW

Hapoel Azor 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLDWLW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1–2–1 Hapoel Azor (4 last)

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1-0Hapoel Azor
Hapoel Azor2-0Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Hapoel Azor0-0Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi2-2Hapoel Azor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1542 · Hapoel Azor 1494

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Draw	Hapoel Azor
Our model	36%	33%	31%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi (rating 1542 vs 1494).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Hapoel Azor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:41 +44’	2.40	3.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1–2–1 Hapoel Azor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Azor
05/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Azor	2-0	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
10/01/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Azor	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
13/09/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2-2 HT 2-0	Hapoel Azor

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hapoel Herzliya	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	Sport Club Dimona	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	MS Jerusalem	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
7	Kfar Saba 1928	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
9	Maccabi Yavne	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
10	Hapoel Marmorek	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Hapoel Azor	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
12	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Hapoel Hadera	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	AS Nordia Jerusalem	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Tzeirey Tira	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Hapoel Azor
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Beitar Yavne	1-0 W	1-2 L
Hapoel Marmorek	1-1 D	0-0 D
MS Jerusalem	2-1 W	1-1 D
Tzeirey Tira	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

DLWWWDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
03/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
27/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
20/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
13/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/02	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
30/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
23/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
16/01	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
11/01	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	9	9	D

Hapoel Azor

LDWDLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
03/09	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
26/02	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
12/02	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
29/01	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
23/01	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
16/01	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
09/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-3	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Azor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi win (37%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 37%, draw 31%, Hapoel Azor 32%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Azor?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1.06 · Hapoel Azor 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Azor?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.