Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 18/09, 12:35

Prediction: Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya

Team pages: Maccabi Yavne · Hapoel Herzliya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Maccabi Yavne1.78

Hapoel Herzliya1.21

1X2

50% 25% 25%

Maccabi Yavne Draw Hapoel Herzliya

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Yavne 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWDWWL

Hapoel Herzliya 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDDLWW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Yavne 2–1–3 Hapoel Herzliya (6 last)

Maccabi Yavne3-0Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya1-4Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne0-1Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya0-0Maccabi Yavne
Hapoel Herzliya3-1Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne0-1Hapoel Herzliya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Yavne 1550 · Hapoel Herzliya 1492

	Maccabi Yavne	Draw	Hapoel Herzliya
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	50%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Yavne (rating 1550 vs 1492).
H2H favours Hapoel Herzliya: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:20 +5’	1.80	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Yavne 2–1–3 Hapoel Herzliya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	3-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Herzliya
08/05/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	1-4 HT 0-0	Maccabi Yavne
28/03/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Herzliya
06/12/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Yavne
02/05/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	3-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Yavne
09/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Herzliya

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hapoel Herzliya	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	Sport Club Dimona	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	MS Jerusalem	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
7	Kfar Saba 1928	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
9	Maccabi Yavne	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
10	Hapoel Marmorek	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Hapoel Azor	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
12	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Hapoel Hadera	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	AS Nordia Jerusalem	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Tzeirey Tira	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Azor	3-0 W	0-0 D
Kfar Saba 1928	4-2 W	3-1 W
AS Nordia Jerusalem	1-1 D	3-1 W
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	5-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Yavne (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Yavne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	1	8	L
03/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
27/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	4-2	8	6	W
20/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
12/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-1	4	9	W
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
30/01	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	3-1	4-1	6	6	W
23/01	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
16/01	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	5-0	9	5	W
10/01	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	3-0	2	5	W

Hapoel Herzliya

LWDLLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
03/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
27/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	0	8	L
20/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
12/02	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/02	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-5	3	5	L
31/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
23/01	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
16/01	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
10/01	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Yavne win (50%). Probabilities: Maccabi Yavne 50%, draw 25%, Hapoel Herzliya 25%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Maccabi Yavne 1.78 · Hapoel Herzliya 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.