Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 18/09, 10:50

Prediction: Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Team pages: Hapoel Marmorek · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Hapoel Marmorek0.93

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon1.45

1X2

24% 27% 49%

Hapoel Marmorek Draw Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Marmorek 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDDDWL

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLDLDD

Head-to-head

Hapoel Marmorek 1–2–3 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (6 last)

Hapoel Marmorek1-1Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Marmorek1-2Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Marmorek2-0Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon3-0Hapoel Marmorek
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon0-0Hapoel Marmorek
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon4-1Hapoel Marmorek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Marmorek 1533 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1482

	Hapoel Marmorek	Draw	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Our model	23%	29%	48%
Market	25%	25%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Marmorek (rating 1533 vs 1482).
H2H favours Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Marmorek	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.8	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.6	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.60

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:48 +6’	3.60	3.60	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Marmorek 1–2–3 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Marmorek	1-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
13/05/19 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Marmorek	1-2 HT 0-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
15/02/19 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Marmorek	2-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
19/10/18 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	3-0 HT 2-0	Hapoel Marmorek
14/05/18 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Marmorek
05/04/18 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	4-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Marmorek

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hapoel Herzliya	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	Sport Club Dimona	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	MS Jerusalem	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
7	Kfar Saba 1928	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
9	Maccabi Yavne	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
10	Hapoel Marmorek	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Hapoel Azor	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
12	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Hapoel Hadera	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	AS Nordia Jerusalem	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Tzeirey Tira	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Marmorek	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-1 L	0-0 D
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1-1 D	2-3 L
Hapoel Herzliya	1-1 D	1-1 D
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Beitar Yavne	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Marmorek

DWDWWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	10	6	L
04/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
27/02	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
20/02	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
05/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
30/01	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
23/01	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
16/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
10/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	–	0-0	–	–	D

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

WWDLDLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
04/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
20/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
13/02	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
06/02	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-2	3	6	D
30/01	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-3	2-3	9	4	L
23/01	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
16/01	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/01	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-1	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon win (49%). Probabilities: Hapoel Marmorek 24%, draw 27%, Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 49%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Hapoel Marmorek 0.93 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1.45), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.