Prediction: TPV vs KUPS Akatemia
Team pages: TPV · KUPS Akatemia
- TPV3-1KUPS Akatemia
- KUPS Akatemia3-0TPV
| TPV | Draw | KUPS Akatemia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV (rating 1507 vs 1465).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPV | KUPS Akatemia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV 1–0–1 KUPS Akatemia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Finland Ykkonen | TPV | 3-1 HT 1-1 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 24/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 3-0 HT 1-0 | TPV |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VJS Vantaa | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Jazz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 30 |
| 3 | TPV | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Inter II | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 51 | 20 |
| 5 | KUPS Akatemia | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 51 | 15 |
| 6 | KPV | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 68 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPV | KUPS Akatemia |
|---|---|---|
| PK Keski-Uusimaa | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Inter II | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tampere Utd | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| SalPa | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| RoPS | 6-3 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Jazz | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| KPV | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| JJK | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: TPV (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/08 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 6-3 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
KUPS Akatemia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/08 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 30/07 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV win (50%). Probabilities: TPV 50%, draw 22%, KUPS Akatemia 28%.
How many goals are expected in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?
The model expects 3.86 goals (TPV 2.22 · KUPS Akatemia 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.