Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/09, 17:30

Prediction: KPV vs KUPS Akatemia

Team pages: KPV · KUPS Akatemia

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
KPV1.77
KUPS Akatemia2.37
1X2
28% 22% 50%
KPV Draw KUPS Akatemia
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
KPV 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLWLLWLLL
KUPS Akatemia 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLDDLLDWLL
Head-to-head
KPV 2–4 KUPS Akatemia (6 last)
  • KPV2-4KUPS Akatemia
  • KUPS Akatemia4-1KPV
  • KPV1-3KUPS Akatemia
  • KUPS Akatemia1-0KPV
  • KPV1-0KUPS Akatemia
  • KUPS Akatemia1-2KPV
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPV 1415 · KUPS Akatemia 1474
KPVDrawKUPS Akatemia
Our model28%21%51%
Market28%22%50%
Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KUPS Akatemia (rating 1415 vs 1474).
  • H2H favours KUPS Akatemia: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KPVKUPS Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.71.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.30.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.73.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.24.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV 204 KUPS Akatemia

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/08/26
Finland Ykkonen
KPV2-4
HT 2-0
KUPS Akatemia
05/06/26
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia4-1
HT 1-1
KPV
19/10/25
Finland Ykkonen
KPV1-3
HT 1-3
KUPS Akatemia
20/07/25
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia1-0
HT 0-0
KPV
03/05/25
Finland Ykkonen
KPV1-0
HT 1-0
KUPS Akatemia
27/07/24
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia1-2
HT 0-1
KPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VJS Vantaa 238105 403234
2 FC Jazz 231067 352933
3 TPV 237610 344227
4 FC Inter II 235513 335320
5 KUPS Akatemia 233614 395515
6 KPV 234316 247115

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKPVKUPS Akatemia
FC Jazz 0-3 L 2-2 D
JJK 1-4 L 4-4 D
FC Inter II 3-2 W 0-1 L
VJS Vantaa 1-2 L 2-2 D
SalPa 3-0 W 1-3 L
RoPS 1-1 D 1-2 L
TPV 1-3 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 3 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPV

LDLWLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 0-3 43 L
29/08 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
0-4 1-4 14 L
21/08 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 2-4 46 L
16/08 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 3-2 103 W
09/08 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-2 95 L
05/08 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-3 0-6 82 L
01/08 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 42 W
26/07 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 56 L
20/07 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-1 71 D
11/07 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 1-3 53 L

KUPS Akatemia

DLDDLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-4 73 L
29/08 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-3 72 L
21/08 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 4-2 76 W
16/08 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 2-2 34 D
11/08 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 84 L
07/08 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 88 L
30/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 2-2 33 D
26/07 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-2 45 D
18/07 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-3 44 L
11/07 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
2-2 4-4 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KUPS Akatemia win (50%). Probabilities: KPV 28%, draw 22%, KUPS Akatemia 50%.

How many goals are expected in KPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model expects 4.14 goals (KPV 1.77 · KUPS Akatemia 2.37), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.