Football · Finland Ykkonen · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: FC Jazz vs VJS Vantaa

Team pages: FC Jazz · VJS Vantaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

FC Jazz1.38

VJS Vantaa1.57

1X2

33% 25% 42%

FC Jazz Draw VJS Vantaa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Jazz 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDDDWDWW

VJS Vantaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWDDLW

Head-to-head

FC Jazz 2–3–1 VJS Vantaa (6 last)

VJS Vantaa1-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz1-1VJS Vantaa
FC Jazz4-1VJS Vantaa
VJS Vantaa3-3FC Jazz
VJS Vantaa3-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz3-1VJS Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Jazz 1556 · VJS Vantaa 1510

	FC Jazz	Draw	VJS Vantaa
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Jazz (rating 1556 vs 1510).
H2H favours FC Jazz: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Jazz	VJS Vantaa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	4 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +12’	2.63	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Jazz 2–3–1 VJS Vantaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	VJS Vantaa	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Jazz
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	1-1 HT 0-0	VJS Vantaa
29/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Jazz	4-1 HT 2-1	VJS Vantaa
08/05/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	VJS Vantaa	3-3 HT 2-3	FC Jazz
02/10/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B	VJS Vantaa	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Jazz
10/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Jazz	3-1 HT 1-0	VJS Vantaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VJS Vantaa	23	8	10	5	40	32	34
2	FC Jazz	23	10	6	7	35	29	33
3	TPV	23	7	6	10	34	42	27
4	FC Inter II	23	5	5	13	33	53	20
5	KUPS Akatemia	23	3	6	14	39	55	15
6	KPV	23	4	3	16	24	71	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Jazz	VJS Vantaa
KPV	3-0 W	2-1 W
FC Inter II	2-0 W	2-1 W
RoPS	2-2 D	0-2 L
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	2-2 D
JJK	3-1 W	4-4 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Jazz (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Jazz

LWWDDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
29/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
23/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
24/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
18/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
11/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	1	7	L

VJS Vantaa

LWDDDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	11	5	L
23/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-4	5	4	D
09/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
05/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
31/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	9	10	D
26/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
22/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	11	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Jazz vs VJS Vantaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VJS Vantaa win (42%). Probabilities: FC Jazz 33%, draw 25%, VJS Vantaa 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Jazz vs VJS Vantaa?

The model expects 2.96 goals (FC Jazz 1.38 · VJS Vantaa 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Jazz vs VJS Vantaa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.