Football · Finland Ykkonen · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS

Team pages: PK Keski-Uusimaa · RoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.82

RoPS1.78

1X2

39% 24% 37%

PK Keski-Uusimaa Draw RoPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PK Keski-Uusimaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWDDWL

RoPS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWDLWD

Head-to-head

PK Keski-Uusimaa 2–1–3 RoPS (6 last)

RoPS4-3PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-2RoPS
PK Keski-Uusimaa2-2RoPS
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-4RoPS
RoPS0-5PK Keski-Uusimaa
RoPS2-3PK Keski-Uusimaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1504 · RoPS 1539

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Draw	RoPS
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RoPS: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	RoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.50 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.83
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +14’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +64’	2.50	3.83	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa 2–1–3 RoPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	4-3 HT 2-1	PK Keski-Uusimaa
18/04/26 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-2 HT 0-1	RoPS
13/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-2 HT 0-1	RoPS
02/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-4 HT 0-1	RoPS
12/04/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-5 HT 0-3	PK Keski-Uusimaa
03/08/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	2-3 HT 2-2	PK Keski-Uusimaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	23	14	5	4	50	20	47
2	RoPS	23	11	8	4	48	33	41
3	SalPa	23	11	6	6	45	38	39
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	23	9	8	6	42	33	35
5	OLS	23	9	8	6	44	36	35
6	JJK	23	8	7	8	54	46	31

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PK Keski-Uusimaa	RoPS
Tampere Utd	2-3 L	0-4 L
TPV	2-0 W	3-6 L
JJK	2-2 D	4-0 W
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Inter II	1-0 W	2-0 W
VJS Vantaa	0-0 D	2-0 W
OLS	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa

DLWDDWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
29/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
21/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
16/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

RoPS

WDWLDWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
29/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
22/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
15/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-3	3-3	8	5	D
11/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PK Keski-Uusimaa win (39%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa 39%, draw 24%, RoPS 37%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS?

The model expects 3.61 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.82 · RoPS 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.