Football · Finland Ykkonen · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Inter II vs TPV

Team pages: FC Inter II · TPV

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
FC Inter II1.81
TPV1.43
1X2
46% 23% 30%
FC Inter II Draw TPV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Inter II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLLLL
TPV 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLDDWLW
Head-to-head
FC Inter II 3–1–1 TPV (5 last)
  • FC Inter II0-1TPV
  • TPV1-1FC Inter II
  • FC Inter II6-0TPV
  • FC Inter II4-1TPV
  • TPV0-4FC Inter II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1443 · TPV 1526
FC Inter IIDrawTPV
Our model46%25%30%
Market47%22%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV (rating 1443 vs 1526).
  • H2H favours FC Inter II: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Inter IITPV
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.62.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.81.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.33.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.23.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 311 TPV

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Finland Ykkonen
FC Inter II0-1
HT 0-1
TPV
06/06/26
Finland Ykkonen
TPV1-1
HT 0-1
FC Inter II
23/08/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
FC Inter II6-0
HT 2-0
TPV
21/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
FC Inter II4-1
HT 3-1
TPV
19/05/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
TPV0-4
HT 0-2
FC Inter II

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VJS Vantaa 249105 423237
2 FC Jazz 241068 353133
3 TPV 237610 344227
4 FC Inter II 235513 335320
5 KPV 245316 277318
6 KUPS Akatemia 243615 415815

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Inter IITPV
FC Jazz 0-2 L 0-4 L
KPV 2-3 L 3-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa 0-1 L 0-2 L
KUPS Akatemia 1-0 W 4-2 W
Tampere Utd 2-2 D 1-1 D
SalPa 1-2 L 1-1 D
RoPS 0-2 L 6-3 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TPV (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter II

LLDDWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-2 46 L
29/08 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 48 L
22/08 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-1 67 L
16/08 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 2-3 73 L
11/08 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 52 L
07/08 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 48 W
31/07 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-1 810 D
24/07 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-2 71 D
18/07 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-2 63 L
10/07 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 22 L

TPV

WWLWLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 4-2 93 W
29/08 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 37 L
22/08 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-0 47 W
15/08 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-1 33 D
11/08 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-1 113 D
05/08 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
2-1 2-4 54 L
01/08 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
2-1 6-3 01 W
24/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-4 43 L
18/07 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 3-1 84 W
11/07 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-1 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs TPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter II win (46%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 46%, draw 23%, TPV 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs TPV?

The model expects 3.24 goals (FC Inter II 1.81 · TPV 1.43), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs TPV?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.