Football · Finland Ykkonen · 25/09, 18:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs JJK

Team pages: Tampere Utd · JJK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.15Total

Tampere Utd2.76

JJK1.39

1X2

66% 17% 17%

Tampere Utd Draw JJK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDDWLWL

JJK 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDDWLL

Head-to-head

Tampere Utd 3–1–1 JJK (5 last)

JJK0-0Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd1-0JJK
JJK5-0Tampere Utd
JJK1-4Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd1-0JJK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1523 · JJK 1454

	Tampere Utd	Draw	JJK
Our model	65%	18%	17%
Market	66%	17%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1523 vs 1454).
H2H favours Tampere Utd: 3-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd	JJK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	1.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.25

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.72
2	5.50 → 5.25▼	Pinn 7.50 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +9’	1.36	5.00	5.50
15:02 +4’	1.36	5.25▲	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +13’	1.28	5.72	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 3–1–1 JJK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	0-0 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
22/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	1-0 HT 0-0	JJK
19/10/25 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	5-0 HT 1-0	Tampere Utd
19/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	JJK	1-4 HT 0-3	Tampere Utd
02/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	1-0 HT 0-0	JJK

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	24	14	5	5	54	26	47
2	SalPa	24	12	6	6	51	42	42
3	RoPS	24	11	8	5	49	36	41
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	24	10	8	6	45	34	38
5	OLS	24	10	8	6	47	37	38
6	JJK	24	8	7	9	55	49	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd	JJK
SalPa	4-6 L	3-4 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	3-2 W	2-2 D
OLS	1-2 L	1-3 L
RoPS	4-0 W	0-4 L
KPV	6-0 W	4-1 W
VJS Vantaa	1-0 W	4-4 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

WDDWDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-6	5	6	L
12/09	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
29/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	11	4	W
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

JJK

DLLLDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
12/09	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-4	3-4	3	5	L
29/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	4-0	4-1	5	4	W
21/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
16/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-4	2	4	D
11/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
05/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
25/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
18/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
11/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-2	4-4	11	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs JJK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (66%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 66%, draw 17%, JJK 17%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs JJK?

The model expects 4.15 goals (Tampere Utd 2.76 · JJK 1.39), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs JJK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.