Football · Finland Ykkonen · 26/09, 13:30

Prediction: OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa

Team pages: OLS · PK Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

OLS1.98

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.53

1X2

47% 24% 29%

OLS Draw PK Keski-Uusimaa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

OLS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWDDLWDW

PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDDWLW

Head-to-head

OLS 3–2–1 PK Keski-Uusimaa (6 last)

PK Keski-Uusimaa1-1OLS
OLS2-0PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa1-1OLS
OLS3-1PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa3-0OLS
OLS1-0PK Keski-Uusimaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1537 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1517

	OLS	Draw	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OLS: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OLS	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.90▲	Bet365 1.90
X	4.00 → 3.80▼	Pinn 4.11
2	3.60 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.41 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +4’	1.70	4.00	3.60
13:13 +2’	1.90▲	3.80▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +2’	1.69	4.16	3.71
13:05 +10’	1.85▲	4.11▼	3.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 3–2–1 PK Keski-Uusimaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-1 HT 0-1	OLS
25/04/26 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	2-0 HT 0-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
02/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-1 HT 0-0	OLS
18/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	3-1 HT 0-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
27/07/24 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	3-0 HT 1-0	OLS
19/05/24 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	1-0 HT 0-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	24	14	5	5	54	26	47
2	SalPa	24	12	6	6	51	42	42
3	RoPS	24	11	8	5	49	36	41
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	24	10	8	6	45	34	38
5	OLS	24	10	8	6	47	37	38
6	JJK	24	8	7	9	55	49	31

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OLS	PK Keski-Uusimaa
JJK	3-1 W	2-2 D
RoPS	1-1 D	3-1 W
Tampere Utd	2-1 W	2-3 L
SalPa	1-4 L	1-0 W
TPV	4-2 W	2-0 W
VJS Vantaa	3-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

LDWWDDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
12/09	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
29/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
22/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
15/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-1	3-3	6	5	D
09/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
05/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
18/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-4	1	3	L

PK Keski-Uusimaa

LWDDWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	3-1	2	0	W
12/09	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
29/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
21/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
16/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OLS win (47%). Probabilities: OLS 47%, draw 24%, PK Keski-Uusimaa 29%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model expects 3.51 goals (OLS 1.98 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.53), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.