Football · Finland Ykkonen · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: RoPS vs OLS

Team pages: RoPS · OLS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

RoPS2.34

OLS1.64

1X2

52% 22% 26%

RoPS Draw OLS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

RoPS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDWDLW

OLS 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWDDLW

Head-to-head

RoPS 1–3–2 OLS (6 last)

OLS3-3RoPS
RoPS1-1OLS
OLS2-1RoPS
RoPS4-1OLS
RoPS1-1OLS
RoPS0-1OLS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RoPS 1531 · OLS 1500

	RoPS	Draw	OLS
Our model	53%	21%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OLS: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RoPS	OLS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:21 +24’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPS 1–3–2 OLS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	3-3 HT 3-1	RoPS
02/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-1 HT 0-1	OLS
07/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	2-1 HT 2-0	RoPS
26/04/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	4-1 HT 2-0	OLS
05/10/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-1 HT 1-0	OLS
17/08/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-1 HT 0-0	OLS

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	22	13	5	4	47	18	44
2	RoPS	22	11	7	4	47	32	40
3	SalPa	22	10	6	6	41	35	36
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	22	9	8	5	40	30	35
5	OLS	22	9	7	6	43	35	34
6	JJK	22	8	7	7	51	42	31

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RoPS	OLS
VJS Vantaa	2-0 W	3-4 L
Tampere Utd	0-4 L	2-1 W
KUPS Akatemia	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Jazz	2-2 D	1-1 D
TPV	3-6 L	4-2 W
KPV	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Inter II	2-0 W	1-3 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RoPS

WWDWLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
22/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
15/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-3	3-3	8	5	D
11/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W

OLS

DLLDWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
22/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
15/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-1	3-3	6	5	D
09/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
05/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
18/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-4	1	3	L
04/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
28/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	10	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RoPS vs OLS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPS win (52%). Probabilities: RoPS 52%, draw 22%, OLS 26%.

How many goals are expected in RoPS vs OLS?

The model expects 3.98 goals (RoPS 2.34 · OLS 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RoPS vs OLS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.