Football · Finland Ykkonen · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs PK Keski-Uusimaa

Team pages: Tampere Utd · PK Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Tampere Utd1.93

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.14

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Tampere Utd Draw PK Keski-Uusimaa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWDDWL

PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDWDDW

Head-to-head

Tampere Utd 0–4–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa (4 last)

PK Keski-Uusimaa4-4Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd0-0PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-0Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd2-2PK Keski-Uusimaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1528 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1528

	Tampere Utd	Draw	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:48 +6’	1.60	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 0–4–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-4 HT 0-2	Tampere Utd
09/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
10/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-0 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
01/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	2-2 HT 1-1	PK Keski-Uusimaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen · Ykkonen 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	22	13	5	4	47	18	44
2	RoPS	22	11	7	4	47	32	40
3	SalPa	22	10	6	6	41	35	36
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	22	9	8	5	40	30	35
5	OLS	22	9	7	6	43	35	34
6	JJK	22	8	7	7	51	42	31

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd	PK Keski-Uusimaa
OLS	1-2 L	1-1 D
TPV	1-1 D	2-0 W
JJK	0-0 D	2-2 D
FC Inter II	2-2 D	1-0 W
VJS Vantaa	1-0 W	0-0 D
SalPa	0-1 L	1-0 W
KUPS Akatemia	3-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

WLWDDWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	11	4	W
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	3	8	W

PK Keski-Uusimaa

WDLWDDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
21/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
16/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/08	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-1	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (55%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 55%, draw 23%, PK Keski-Uusimaa 22%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Tampere Utd 1.93 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.