Football · Finland Kolmonen · 04/09, 19:30

Prediction: VG-62 vs Peimari United

Team pages: VG-62 · Peimari United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

VG-621.37

Peimari United1.84

1X2

28% 23% 48%

VG-62 Draw Peimari United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

VG-62 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLLL

Peimari United 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWWWWD

Head-to-head

VG-62 1–1–4 Peimari United (6 last)

Peimari United3-1VG-62
Peimari United3-3VG-62
VG-622-3Peimari United
VG-623-1Peimari United
Peimari United6-2VG-62
VG-622-3Peimari United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VG-62 1434 · Peimari United 1546

	VG-62	Draw	Peimari United
Our model	28%	25%	48%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peimari United (rating 1434 vs 1546).
H2H favours Peimari United: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VG-62	Peimari United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/0/70%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.00

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +5’	3.10	4.00	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VG-62 1–1–4 Peimari United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	3-1	VG-62
20/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	3-3 HT 3-1	VG-62
13/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	2-3 HT 0-1	Peimari United
28/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	3-1 HT 1-0	Peimari United
15/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	6-2 HT 2-2	VG-62
15/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	2-3	Peimari United

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	18	12	4	2	36	11	40
2	IFK Mariehamn II	17	12	2	3	42	17	38
3	PIF Parainen	16	9	4	3	30	16	31
4	SAPA/2	18	8	3	7	26	23	27
5	Peimari United	17	6	8	3	28	18	26
6	LTU	17	7	3	7	21	22	24
7	MaPS	17	7	2	8	26	28	23
8	VG-62	16	7	0	9	20	22	21
9	KaaPo	17	7	0	10	30	36	21
10	JyTy	17	4	3	10	19	41	15
11	ACF	17	2	5	10	15	36	11
12	PiPS	17	3	2	12	16	39	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VG-62	Peimari United
JyTy	1-2 L	2-0 W
KaaPo	0-2 L	3-0 W
PIF Parainen	0-1 L	3-0 W
MaPS	1-2 L	2-1 W
SalPa 2	1-3 L	1-1 D
ACF	3-0 W	2-2 D
LTU	1-2 L	0-1 L
PiPS	3-0 W	2-2 D
IFK Mariehamn II	0-2 L	1-3 L
EuPa	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Peimari United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VG-62

WLWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
21/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
15/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
07/08	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
28/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
23/07	ACF Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
26/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
17/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
13/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
05/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	5	4	W

Peimari United

LLDDDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/07	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
17/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
13/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VG-62 vs Peimari United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Peimari United win (48%). Probabilities: VG-62 28%, draw 23%, Peimari United 48%.

How many goals are expected in VG-62 vs Peimari United?

The model expects 3.2 goals (VG-62 1.37 · Peimari United 1.84), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VG-62 vs Peimari United?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.