Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: SJK-j vs SIF

Team pages: SJK-j · SIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

SJK-j2.17

SIF1.85

1X2

45% 22% 33%

SJK-j Draw SIF

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SJK-j 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDLWWD

SIF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

SJK-j 2–1–2 SIF (5 last)

SIF2-2SJK-j
SJK-j0-3SIF
SIF3-2SJK-j
SIF0-5SJK-j
SIF0-1SJK-j

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK-j 1491 · SIF 1548

	SJK-j	Draw	SIF
Our model	45%	22%	33%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SIF (rating 1491 vs 1548).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK-j	SIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +13’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK-j 2–1–2 SIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-2 HT 1-0	SJK-j
21/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	SJK-j	0-3 HT 0-1	SIF
28/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	3-2	SJK-j
27/07/23 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	0-5 HT 0-1	SJK-j
21/06/22 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	0-1 HT 0-0	SJK-j

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	17	13	2	2	53	13	41
2	FC Kiisto	18	9	4	5	42	25	31
3	FC Ylivieska	18	9	3	6	42	39	30
4	SIF	17	8	3	6	36	32	27
5	Virkia	17	7	3	7	32	33	24
6	SJK-j	17	6	5	6	27	27	23
7	VPV Pallo-Veikot	17	7	2	8	21	24	23
8	Sporting Kristina	17	6	4	7	26	28	22
9	Nykarleby IK	18	5	4	9	26	41	19
10	LBK	18	6	1	11	26	49	19
11	KPV Akatemia	18	4	1	13	34	54	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK-j	SIF
FC Ylivieska	2-2 D	4-3 W
Nykarleby IK	2-1 W	4-3 W
VIFK	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Kiisto	1-2 L	1-5 L
Sporting Kristina	0-0 D	2-1 W
LBK	2-4 L	2-0 W
KPV Akatemia	6-3 W	3-2 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-2 L	1-1 D
Virkia	0-1 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SIF (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK-j

DLLWLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
22/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-4	6	3	L
16/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-3	6	2	W
02/07	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
24/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
17/06	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	7	4	D

SIF

DDWWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
27/08	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-2	4-3	4	6	W
18/08	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-3	9	2	W
07/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	0	8	L
30/07	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
10/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
01/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	1	W
25/06	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/06	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK-j vs SIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK-j win (45%). Probabilities: SJK-j 45%, draw 22%, SIF 33%.

How many goals are expected in SJK-j vs SIF?

The model expects 4.02 goals (SJK-j 2.17 · SIF 1.85), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK-j vs SIF?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.