Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: KaaPo vs PiPS

Team pages: KaaPo · PiPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
KaaPo2.3
PiPS1.32
1X2
59% 20% 21%
KaaPo Draw PiPS
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
KaaPo 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLWLL
PiPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLLLWW
Head-to-head
KaaPo 2–1 PiPS (3 last)
  • PiPS1-0KaaPo
  • KaaPo5-1PiPS
  • PiPS1-3KaaPo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KaaPo 1440 · PiPS 1471
KaaPoDrawPiPS
Our model59%21%20%
Market60%19%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours KaaPo: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KaaPoPiPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.51.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)71/0/29%14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.62.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.42.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · KaaPo 201 PiPS

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/06/26
Finland Kolmonen
PiPS1-0
HT 0-0
KaaPo
29/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
KaaPo5-1PiPS
24/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
PiPS1-3
HT 0-2
KaaPo

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EuPa 181242 361140
2 IFK Mariehamn II 181233 431839
3 PIF Parainen 17944 301731
4 Peimari United 18783 312029
5 SAPA/2 18837 262327
6 LTU 18837 242227
7 MaPS 18828 282826
8 VG-62 177010 222521
9 KaaPo 187011 303921
10 JyTy 184410 204216
11 PiPS 184212 173914
12 ACF 182511 153811

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKaaPoPiPS
LTU 0-3 L 2-4 L
IFK Mariehamn II 2-3 L 1-3 L
VG-62 2-0 W 0-3 L
Peimari United 0-3 L 2-2 D
JyTy 1-2 L 1-0 W
EuPa 1-4 L 1-4 L
PIF Parainen 2-4 L 1-0 W
MaPS 2-1 W 2-1 W
ACF 5-3 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 6 L 3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: PiPS (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KaaPo

WWLLLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
29/08 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-3 67 L
21/08 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 42 W
14/08 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
06/08 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 27 L
01/08 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
22/07 PIF Parainen
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-4 13 L
23/06 SAPA/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 43 L
17/06 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 109 W
12/06 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-3 51 W

PiPS

WLDLLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 PIF Parainen
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
28/08 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 24 W
20/08 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-3 33 L
14/08 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 110 L
08/08 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
31/07 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
25/07 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 53 L
25/06 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 52 D
17/06 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 43 L
11/06 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaaPo vs PiPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KaaPo win (59%). Probabilities: KaaPo 59%, draw 20%, PiPS 21%.

How many goals are expected in KaaPo vs PiPS?

The model expects 3.62 goals (KaaPo 2.3 · PiPS 1.32), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KaaPo vs PiPS?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.